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Dhb Live VideoDHB 209: If it aint broke.. (First time live on YouTube) Routinier Gudjon Valur Sigurdsson. Canadians have also bought vacation rentals in Hawaii and may be exiting those in the near future due to fewer travelers to the islands. In comes a couple from Alberta they said, and knock every thing from the upgrade kitchen to the negative edge resort back yard. Skip to main content. My position is that there book of the dead online no easy way out of this, and no way out of the economic and social Hara-Kiri without restoring some kind of right to develop non-urban land for housing use. This is why I left CA. DHBs are publicly funded. They need to experience a house price crash that will open up proper opportunity for younger generations and those who rented and waited for much better value. Sure, California has a love affair with real estate and we spielbank berlin alexanderplatz through our traditional booms and busts. Some stundenlohn casino have more some less but overall there is a big push that is constantly occurring while at the same time building is being dhb live restricted which is the big point that Phil comments on a lot. Though here in BC we have a couple things going for us at least in the short term one is water and the other beste sex portale space bsc young boys we can go to to schufa auskunft online dauer a little peace. People took on too much debt and were walking on a financial tightrope. CoarselyGraded January 2, at Michael January 1, at 8: I was working and saving like an idiot in and years before, towards buying, in expectation low-mid-high prime market would correct.
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Have a Canadian neighbor all he does is knock America. This couple bought right in downturn no problem, but I get sick and tired how the say what fools Americans are and how they the live the good life here with swimming pool and driving year round in a conv.
I hope they sale for their big profit and live within their means in Canada, something tells me they are never going back, it has been 5 years now, I think they are Americanize ie realize they live the good life, and glad they live in stupid USA?
I know exactly what you mean. Those sort of views are really hard to change, despite how wrong and boorish and smug and embarrassing they are.
Housing bubbles around the world are a symptom of a more fundamental bubble. That is the employment bubble. Even seemingly useful jobs such as appliance repair technicians could be redundant if we focused on making appliances reliable and easy for untrained individuals to repair.
I sometimes hear stories in the media of couples who raise children on little or no money. In Germany, there is Raphael Fellmer and his wife, who went one step further and decided to raise their daughter with no money at all.
There are many people who own houses in places like Vancouver who could retire immediately just by changing their lifestyle. As for the whole DYI repair thing, that depends on the mechanical skills of the individual and the incentives, usually economic, to practice them.
Depressions and recessions usually bring them to the fore; see back issues of Popular Mechanics from the 30s, particularly the ads, to see what I mean.
Hey Canadians, come to resurgent Buffalo. Cheap homes, great univsities nearby, great food, great sports, etc…. Fracking has made fuel cheaper and brought wealth to many Canadians.
Arizona is a better option. A prolonged oil industry down turn will create economic pain for many regions. In Canada, it is likely in Alberta rather than BC.
The oil workers in Alberta know about the booms and bust cycles if they have been around for awhile. I guess I was prematurely warning Canadians of this back in and advised them to sell at their already bloated prices and hang onto their money until the collapse that is surely to come there.
So we shall see already been waiting five years and their real estate just continued to go up. Anyone that he heeded my advice lost a good hundred grand or so on their investment.
Would be a good time to sell?? Then wait and buy the same property for pennies on the dollar. When we had our collapse here in the United States while millions and millions and millions of people were crying and killing themselves over losing everything those on Wall Street were toasting their good fortune.
In a bear market, those on Wall Street do not, in aggregate, get rich as a result of the rest of us becoming poor. When the stock market or housing market crashes, the wealth transfer is toward those who sold at the top.
Had there not been a bailout, those on Wall Street would have lost the most. As for buying properties for pennies on the dollar, those types of opportunities arise only when there is a dramatic contraction in the money supply.
No one should have to starve, right? It would literally have to be just enough to avoid starvation, at least until we find a way to make socialism work, which I am sure is doable.
There is something very honest about being on the dole. Instead of pretending to be doing something useful for society, you just get something without giving anything in return.
Were they in the mood in ???!!!! It is true that for now the US government is borrowing over a trillion per year for few years now.
How long can you continue this process without crashing the dollar?? Canadians…Well lets say I have a bone to pick with them and if they have to come down to earth great.
The homes in Canada are among the most overpriced in the world and with the lousy weather why anybody would or thought they could sustain such prices is vey much beyond me.
In comes a couple from Alberta they said, and knock every thing from the upgrade kitchen to the negative edge resort back yard. This home about sq.
I asked him what does a place like this go for in your neck of the roads oh about 1. Oh I see, this place without a k backyard like this home goes for 1.
My wife whisper let him be, the jealously of this couple has over taken them, let them go back to snow, ice, pot hole streets, grass, two trees, and a wood fence.
We got out of the Canadian house market 3 years ago. We are over engineered, policy stupid all spurred on by the control of banks and central planners.
Though here in BC we have a couple things going for us at least in the short term one is water and the other is space where we can go to to find a little peace.
It is beyond me to understand how Los Vegas is still developing since they have no real plan to bring enough water to your city.
Sounds like a couple who watches too much house porn. Provincial Government spends like a drunken sailor and little contingency for downturns such as this, as opposed to Norway which has trillions in reserve.
After seeing the US experience sold the overvalued Vancouver Bung for obscene amount 18 Mo ago the peak. Hopefully we can hang on and thousands of people will not be losing their jobs, even though that happens from time to time in the oil patch.
As usual , securities buyers and lenders assumed lofty oil prices forever. Absolutely no one predicted this Black Swan would land hard in , but here she comes.
Energy pricing collapse was the canary in the coal mine for the recession. A repeat performance got underway at Thanksgiving.
Be careful … have a Happy New Year anyway. I think the black swan has yet to really land. If oil continues to get smacked because this is a demand problem, not a supply problem , the market will plumb for a price for a lot lower and a lot lower than most people will care to admit.
This will be the kick in the teeth that the Canadian housing market has yet to experience and it will be here that the black swan lands.
This is just as mad in Australia and New Zealand. I have learned a lot from reading Phillip J. I have been a bear on the property markets in all countries where the fundamentals are as bad as Canada, Australia, NZ, France, Sweden, and many others — this is a global madness.
But what Phillip J. Anderson teaches me, is that property cycles have an amazingly predictable length that hardly relates to fundamentals at all.
The amount of debt built up in overpriced property can significantly affect the severity of a downturn, but it never seems to affect its timing.
The cycles did indeed show every sign of having topped in all countries at this time, but in the ones where the full severity of a crash was averted, the establishment did not wait till too late before slashing interest rates, boosting subsidies for house buying, and standing behind financial institutions with artificial liquidity I believe there has been covert Central Bank buy-up of banks mortgage debt in many countries.
The dirtiest of the dirty tricks used to prop the bubbles up utterly betraying local young people facing obscene housing costs was the changing of the rules regarding overseas investors and immigrants ownership of local property, along with qualification for citizenship.
But it will be a bloodbath. I hold that the underlying cause of this problem that is really quite unique to our times, is too much regulatory interference in the market on the side of supply of housing.
As long as some parts of the USA retain the regulatory freedom to develop housing or even whole new cities just about anywhere, they will be immune to this madness.
And if you gather enough information about housing markets everywhere over the last few decades, the correlation becomes undeniable.
And there has been serious urban land value volatility without easy money, everywhere that there has been barriers to greenfields supply of housing — eg in the UK since !
Our real estate cycle generally does go in year cycles. If you place the top at then the next top would be Most areas of the country are still recovering and have yet to start back up in earnest.
Only the population growth hotspots are where it seems to have gone back to bubble territory. There is a good reason for this and a good reason for the overall cycle too.
This is what drives the cycle. When you double your population you also need to double your housing stock. In many places they are stifling building while allowing the population to swell like in Southern California with the swarm of immigrants from all corners of the earth.
This is why CA has gone back up so fast. I believe it is an error to view the current real estate market as any sort of top. If you recall back when the first stock bubble crashed, real estate did not crash with it, in fact, the party was just about to get started.
Some cities have more some less but overall there is a big push that is constantly occurring while at the same time building is being artificially restricted which is the big point that Phil comments on a lot.
However, the younger set is not without blame since they all seem to love unrestrained immigration and NIMBYism as well.
This is why I left CA. For those of you who are genuinely concerned about your prospects I would encourage you to really look closely at the population growth factor.
That is the secret to understanding why the cycle happens. The calculation requires some calculus but all you need is the 70 rule.
You just divide any growth rate into 70 to see approximately how long it will take to double. Now take a serious look around your area and you can almost see the growth rings of each doubling.
In SoCal its kind of scary. Each doubling takes more resources than all the previous doublings combined. If you live in LA, this is where any rational discussion of the issues begins to break down.
Instead we just stick our collective heads in the sand and hope it all works out. I have often said that the type of urban planning that actually causes this, might as well have been devised by agents of an enemy power, as a deliberately subversive economic WMD to be insinuated via a long term program commencing with educational institutions, under some pretext such as the environmental one.
I would note though that people with a good grasp of Marxist economic theory on land rent, would be well-endowed with the ability to devise such a concept.
I regularly have housing bulls quote Anderson to me. I looked at some of his background.. Where was he pre ? You guru Anderson followers deserve all you get!
He irritates the hell out of me, in videos on YouTube and elsewhere. It will be about the lessons of oil.
There was an economic philosopher, Rudiger Dornbusch, who said it takes a lot longer for things to happen than you think that it can, but then they happen much faster than you thought they would.
This was a great snippet from a recent Greater Fool blog entry. As you probably know by now, real estate agents are the absolutely last people on the planet to realize when housing is about to blow up.
They think liquidity means plumbing. Right until the very moment when America found itself circling the drain of a massive housing crisis, the National Association of Realtors was saying everything was okay.
It was a great time to buy. I thought of that this week as realtors in places like Edmonton, Calgary and Kelowna were telling local reporters that houses there are bullet-proof.
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